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Conservation
Corn-Based Ethanol Does Indeed
Achieve Energy Benefits
Michael
Wang and Dan Santini
Center for Transportation Research
Argonne National Laboratory
February
15, 2000
Notes
to Be Published in ECO: Ethanol, Climate Change, Oil Reduction
A Public Forum Newsletter by the Environmental and Energy Study Institute
Prof. David Pimentel's 1998 assessment of corn ethanol concluded that
corn ethanol achieved a negative energy balance (which is usually defined
as the energy in a product minus energy used to produce the product).
Unfortunately, his assessment lacked timeliness in that it relied on
data appropriate to conditions of the 1970s and early1980s, but clearly
not the 1990s. Prof. Pimentel failed to take into account technology
improvements over the last twenty years and their impacts on energy
requirements of corn farming and ethanol production.
Technological
advancements have undoubtedly helped increase productivity and product
performance and reduce input energy requirement in almost every U.S.
economic sector. Those of us who have been analyzing transportation-related
technologies have noted the dramatic reductions in per-vehicle emissions
and increases in fuel economy and vehicle performance because of vehicle
technology advancements. We have found, through our analyses, that corn
farming and ethanol production are no exception, benefiting significantly
from technological advancements. Failure to consider this, as Prof.
Pimentel's assessment did, inevitably reaches erroneous conclusions.
Problems
with Prof. Pimentel's assessment are found in three key areas: energy
use of corn farming, energy use of ethanol production, and failure to
credit co-products from ethanol plants. With respect to the first two
areas, Prof. Pimentel in his 1998 assessment used data from his 1991
and 1992 publications, despite the fact that a 1995 thorough study on
the topic by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) was readily available.
Further, since that time we have conducted our own study of the subject,
and the USDA is currently updating its estimates. We anticipate that
these studies will support our prior assumptions that progress continues
to be made. The farming sector is not technologically mature, as Prof.
Pimentel contends. In fact, we found that best practices in corn farming
and ethanol production provide reason to believe that the improvements
in energy efficiency that we identified are likely to continue.
We
conducted a series of detailed analyses on energy and emission impacts
of corn ethanol from 1997 through 1999. During our analyses, we researched
improvements in energy intensity of corn farming and ethanol production
by studying publicly available data and by contacting USDA, experts
in the Midwestern farming and meat production communities, and ethanol
plant designers and operators. Our research showed that corn productivity
(defined as corn yield per unit of chemical input) increased by 30%
between the early 1970s and mid-1990s. We also found that energy intensity
of ethanol production (defined as energy use in ethanol plants per unit
of ethanol produced) decreased by about 40% between the mid-1980s and
late 1990s. The table below presents our results, together with Prof.
Pimentel's values.
Energy Inputs for a Gallon of Ethanol
|
Item
|
Argonne
|
Pimentel
|
|
Corn
Farming
|
26,700
|
55,300
|
|
Ethanol
Production
|
44,300
|
74,300
|
|
Co-Product
Credit
|
-15,400
|
0
|
|
Total
|
55,600
|
129,600
|
|
Net
Energy Balance
|
20,400
|
-53,600
|
In the table, the value for corn farming in our analyses included energy
use of powering farming machinery (tillage, irrigation, harvesting,
and product drying), energy embedded in fertilizer and pesticides (production,
transportation, and application), and energy use for transporting corn
to ethanol plants. The value for ethanol production included energy
use in ethanol plants and for transporting ethanol from plants to refueling
stations.
The
most contentious issue on corn ethanol perhaps is how to deal with co-products
from ethanol plants. Dry milling ethanol plants produce distillers'
grains and solubles together with ethanol, while wet milling plants
produce corn gluten feed, corn gluten meal, corn oil, and other high-value
products together with ethanol. These products are currently sold in
the marketplace as animal feeds and for other uses (e.g., corn oil for
cooking). While there are several ways of estimating energy and emission
credits of co-products, most analysts now agree that the so-called displacement
method should be used to estimate the credits. This assigns a co-product
credit based on the input energy requirement of the feed product or
good that the ethanol co-product displaces. With the method, we have
estimated an energy credit of 15,440 Btu per gallon of ethanol. In contrast,
Prof. Pimentel failed to allow any credits for co-products.
It
is worth noting that the displacement method gives the least energy
and emission credits to ethanol co-products. If other methods are to
be used, co-product credits will be higher than that presented in the
table. One of us contends that the dollar valuation of products sold
should be used to allocate emissions to products produced.
We
note that Prof. Pimentel fallaciously sets up a "strawman"
- an assumption that those analyzing corn ethanol intend for it to entirely
replace gasoline fuel. By doing so, he creates a hypothetical arbitrary
situation where the quantities of co-products produced are so large
as that the market obviously would not be able to absorb the quantities
and therefore that co-products become onerous waste products. The situation
that our study team analyzed carefully considered the reasonableness
of the size of the market that could be served by ethanol production
while retaining a market for co-products and avoiding excessive displacement
of valuable cropland. In particular, we assumed a scenario of increasing
corn ethanol production from the current level of 1.5 billion gallons
a year to a level of 3 billion gallons a year by 2010. For this situation,
which is the only reasonable one to consider, a co-product credit is
appropriate.
Also,
our analyses, and most other studies, did not credit ethanol with an
octane boosting effect, which does exist when ethanol is blended in
small percentages in gasoline, the dominant use of ethanol at this time.
Had this effect been included for the case of use of ethanol in "low
level" ethanol/gasoline blends, our benefits estimates would have
been larger.
In
summary, with up-to-date information on corn farming and ethanol production
and treating ethanol co-products fairly, we have concluded that corn-based
ethanol now has a positive energy balance of about 20,000 Btu per gallon.
Our analyses have also concluded that corn ethanol achieves modest to
moderate reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, relative to petroleum-based
gasoline. Our analyses are documented in several publications available
on request. Needless to say, we do not contend that our estimates are
valid for the case in which one assumes that corn-ethanol completely
replaces gasoline; such an analysis is an unrealistic academic exercise
with little value for public policy debate related to continuation or
moderate expansion of present corn ethanol production.
Admittedly,
our studies are quite limited in the sense that they focus on energy
and greenhouse gas emissions impacts of corn ethanol production. We
have not explicitly addressed issues of cost effectiveness, water pollution,
soil erosion, and ethical and moral issues associated with use of cropland
for fuel production, while Prof. Pimentel does tackle them. However,
we do implicitly acknowledge that such limits to the use of corn ethanol
do exist, by refusing in our analysis to examine cases of excessively
rapid expansion of corn ethanol output. The cases that we did examine
were tied closely to our estimates of rates of productivity increase,
such that little expansion of use of cropland was required to meet our
projected expansions of ethanol production.
Last reviewed
August 22, 2001
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